News briefing · Published
NOAA's 2026-27 winter outlook: what a strong El Niño means for you
What does NOAA's 2026-2027 winter outlook predict?
NOAA's 2026-2027 U.S. Winter Outlook, released October 16, 2026, covers December through February and expects a very strong El Niño. Wetter-than-average conditions are most likely in the Southwest, South and East Coast. Warmer-than-average conditions are favored in much of the northern and eastern U.S. Outlooks are seasonal and do not forecast individual storms, so prepare anyway.
FOX 13 and FOX 5 NY report that NOAA released its 2026-27 U.S. Winter Outlook on October 16, 2026, and expects a very strong El Niño this winter.
What happened
The outlook covers December through February. Wetter-than-average conditions are most likely across the Southwest, South and East Coast, while drier-than-average conditions are favored in the northern Rockies and Great Lakes. Above-average temperatures are favored across much of the northern and eastern U.S.
What it means for your home
Outlooks show seasonal averages, not single storms. A seasonal outlook cannot say when a storm will hit, so plan for outages either way. NWS director Ken Graham said, "Now is the time for communities and individuals to plan ahead for the upcoming winter."
What to do this week
- Check your storm kit for a battery radio and at least three days of water per person.
- Charge power banks and keep a battery lantern and flashlights ready.
- Set aside blankets and a safe, non-electric way to stay warm.
- If your home is in a wet area, check sump pump backup and keep tarps ready.
- Test your carbon monoxide alarm.
See how to stay warm without power for a full winter plan.
Sources
This briefing is general information, not medical, legal or electrical advice. In an emergency, call 911 or your local emergency number.